Presidio, TX

Original

This is a planning tool, not a prediction. Of the 74 numbers behind a season in Presidio, 26 are published figures, 27 are worked out from published figures, and 21 are our own estimates. 37 of them were read straight out of a federal file that covers every city in the country, so there was no citation to trust and no page to misread. You can change any of them. Your result is only as good as the numbers you agree with.

How long until you have your $10,000 back

9.1 months

After 90 days the project is worth

$6,890

Against the $10,000 you put in

-$3,110

This projects the first 90 days forward in a straight line. Early months carry start-up drag, so later ones may run better. It is a direction, not a date.

Where the money goes on day one

The project is behind before the car turns a wheel. That is true in every town on this list, and it is the hole the months above are measured against.

You put in$10,000

Hard costs, paid once

Down payment on a $28,900 car -$2,900

Installing home charging -$2,250

Permits and onboardingplaceholder -$650

Money left to operate on$4,200

Plus the car equity. You paid $28,900, but it would only fetch $27,166 the moment it is yours, and you owe $26,000 of that +$1,166

What the project is worth on day one$5,366

The project is $4,634 down before the first fare: $2,900 genuinely spent, and $1,734 that vanished the moment the car stopped being new.

Two honest caveats. The permit figure is marked placeholder because the model invents it — the obligation is real, the amount is not researched. And nothing here counts sales tax, excise, title or registration on the purchase, which vary by state and this model does not yet carry, so every figure is a best case.

What comes off every fare before you see it

The rider pays100%

The network takesour estimate −30%

Reaches the business70%

That 30% comes off the top — before energy, cleaning, insurance, the depot or the loan payment. Every figure on this page is already after it.

Tesla has published no owner-operator revenue share for Robotaxi, anywhere, so this is an expectation rather than a reported figure. 30% is roughly what the established ride-hail platforms take and what people following the rollout broadly expect. It is the largest single lever in the whole model: at 25% instead, the same season leaves about 7% more in your hand — more than any driving decision you can make. Fares also settle 7 days after they are earned.

People

2,909

Presidio County

Rides a day

all operators, town-wide

Airport

—

Fast charging

$0.43

per kWh, public

Why this town is in the game

Bought to test poverty, heat, a border crossing, and NO airport within 120 miles.

What this row rests on

74 numbers describe this town. Every one of them says where it came from.

26 published by somebody else 27 worked out from those 21 our own estimates

Citations we went back and checked

12 held / 1 failed

Anything that failed was demoted to an estimate and says so.

What we could not find out

airport: no commercial service airport within 120 miles of this city appears in the FAA's CY2024 enplanement file
visitor_air_arrival_share: could not be built, so visitors are counted as arriving by road and the visitor stream is a floor
rides_per_day: the five named sources were checked and none publishes a trip count for this city, so the estimate stands on its own arithmetic
airport: no airport_distance_mi record -- research did not produce one
airport: no airport_passengers_year record -- research did not produce one

Some of the numbers, and where they came from

A sample. The whole pack is in the data API.

Rides a day, whole townour estimate12 rides/day

Total app-hailed trips a day across every operator in the city -- the pool your fleet competes for a share of, not the number you will get. no published figure we could verify

Average paid trip lengthour estimate3.0 miles

No local TNC trip-length survey exists; the city’s own 2.575 sq mi land area plus the 11.5-minute mean commute are the strongest published local facts, so average paid length is reasoned from that geography. no published figure we could verify

Overnight electricitypublished0.1017 $/kWh

Off-peak energy charge from Rio Grande Electric Cooperative General Service Single Phase Commercial tariff #202.3, which covers midnight-06:00 entirely (peak is only 3-7pm weekdays May-Sep); energy component of bundled rate, PCA rider additional (currently a d Rio Grande Electric Cooperative

Evening electricitypublished0.1688 $/kWh

Evening roughly 16:00-midnight includes the utility's defined on-peak window of 3-7pm weekdays May-Sep; uses the published on-peak energy charge from General Service Single Phase Commercial tariff #202.3 (PCA rider additional). This is a secondary source -- it Rio Grande Electric Cooperative

Insurance on each car after the firstworked out325 $/month

What each additional vehicle adds to the premium. Lower than the first car because a fleet policy spreads the administrative part of a premium across the vehicles while the risk part scales with them -- which is part of why growing is the way out of the trap.

A small commercial bay, per monthworked out391 $/month

This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes what a 1,500 square foot bay lets for in a town this size, because small commercial bays let privately, one handshake at a time, and no ind

A full interior cleanworked out54 $

This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes a full interior detail in a town this size, because it is a manual service: keeping a price list current is work, and the price is whatever

Named demand generatorspublished

Presidio ISD (3 campuses, ~1,038 students); U.S. Customs and Border Protection / Presidio port of entry; Presidio County Medical Clinic (outpatient only); Mexican Consulate; local retail. No hospital

Wikipedia names ISD, CBP and retail as the local economy; US News gives ISD enrollment; clinics exist but have no inpatient beds. This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce. Wikipedia, Presidio, Texas

Reported paid ridesour estimate0 trips/year

No independent published count of taxi or TNC trips in Presidio exists; value 0 is an audited absence, not a claim that zero rides occur. no published figure we could verify

Researched 2026-09-09 on pipeline 2.1.0. Measured on sim 1.5.0, 12 seeds, median reported. A result is only comparable to another from the same sim version.