{"id": "ely-nv", "label": "Ely, NV", "city": "Ely", "state": "NV", "county": "White Pine County", "geography": "single-radius town", "population": 3946, "researched_on": "2026-09-09", "pipeline_version": "2.1.0", "model": "grok-4.6", "counts": {"total": 78, "sourced": 24, "derived": 32, "estimated": 22}, "gaps": 4, "citations": {"checked": 11, "passed": 8, "failed": 3}, "research_cost_usd": 4.7708, "summary": "This is a planning tool, not a prediction. Of the 78 numbers behind a season in Ely, 24 are published figures, 32 are worked out from published figures, and 22 are our own estimates. 41 of them were read straight out of a federal file that covers every city in the country, so there was no citation to trust and no page to misread. You can change any of them. Your result is only as good as the numbers you agree with.", "pack": {"id": "ely-nv", "city": "Ely", "state": "NV", "label": "Ely, NV", "county": "White Pine County", "geography_type": "single-radius town", "researched_on": "2026-09-09", "pipeline_version": "2.1.0", "model": "grok-4.6", "records": [{"id": "population", "label": "People living here", "value": 3946, "unit": "people", "basis": "sourced", "why": "US Census Bureau vintage 2025 population estimate for Ely city, Nevada.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "US Census Bureau, Subcounty Population Estimates", "date": "2025", "url": "https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/datasets/2020-2025/cities/totals/sub-est2025.csv", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "SUMLEV 162, GEOID 3223500 -- Ely city, Nevada"}, "range": [1973, 7892], "editable": true, "theme": "people", "bulk": true}, {"id": "land_area_sqmi", "label": "How big the city is", "value": 7.626, "unit": "sq mi", "basis": "sourced", "why": "Census Bureau Gazetteer land area for Ely city. Water is excluded.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "US Census Bureau Gazetteer", "date": "2025", "url": "https://www2.census.gov/geo/docs/maps-data/data/gazetteer/2025_Gazetteer/2025_gaz_place_32.txt", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "GEOID 3223500 -- Ely city"}, "range": [3.8, 15.3], "editable": true, "theme": "people", "bulk": true}, {"id": "density", "label": "People per square mile", "value": 517, "unit": "people/sq mi", "basis": "derived", "why": "How tightly packed the town is, which is what decides how far an average trip runs and how much empty driving there is between fares.", "math": "3,946 residents divided by 7.626 square miles of land = 517 people per square mile.", "source": null, "range": [206, 1292], "editable": true, "theme": "people", "bulk": true}, {"id": "metro_population", "label": "People in the surrounding county", "value": 8661, "unit": "people", "basis": "sourced", "why": "US Census Bureau vintage 2025 estimate for White Pine County, Nevada. This is the pool a fleet actually draws on, because trips do not stop at the city line.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "US Census Bureau, County Population Estimates", "date": "2025", "url": "https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/popest/datasets/2020-2025/counties/totals/co-est2025-alldata.csv", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "SUMLEV 050, GEOID 32033 -- White Pine County, Nevada"}, "range": [4330, 17322], "editable": true, "theme": "people", "bulk": true}, {"id": "airport_name", "label": "Airport name", "value": "Elko Regional", "unit": "", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The nearest commercial service airport to this city in the FAA's own traffic file, matched by distance from the Census Bureau's internal point for the city rather than by name.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "FAA, CY2024 Passenger Boarding (Enplanement) Data for U.S. Airports", "date": "CY2024", "url": "https://www.faa.gov/airports/planning_capacity/passenger_allcargo_stats/passenger/arp-cy2024-commercial-service-enplanements.xlsx", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "Locid EKO -- Elko Regional, Elko NV"}, "range": null, "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "airport"}, {"id": "airport_code", "label": "Airport code", "value": "EKO", "unit": "", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The FAA location identifier, which is the key this pack joins the traffic file and the airport coordinate file on.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "FAA, CY2024 Passenger Boarding (Enplanement) Data for U.S. Airports", "date": "CY2024", "url": "https://www.faa.gov/airports/planning_capacity/passenger_allcargo_stats/passenger/arp-cy2024-commercial-service-enplanements.xlsx", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "Locid EKO -- Elko Regional, Elko NV"}, "range": null, "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "airport"}, {"id": "airport_passengers_year", "label": "Passengers boarding a year", "value": 12881, "unit": "enplanements/year", "basis": "sourced", "why": "FAA calendar year 2024 ENPLANEMENTS -- passengers BOARDING, which is about half of the arrivals-plus-departures figure an airport press release quotes. This is the federal count, read out of the FAA's own file.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "FAA, CY2024 Passenger Boarding (Enplanement) Data for U.S. Airports", "date": "CY2024", "url": "https://www.faa.gov/airports/planning_capacity/passenger_allcargo_stats/passenger/arp-cy2024-commercial-service-enplanements.xlsx", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "Locid EKO -- Elko Regional, Elko NV"}, "range": [6440, 25762], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "airport"}, {"id": "airport_traffic_change_pct", "label": "Change in airport traffic, 2023 to 2024", "value": 20.1, "unit": "%", "basis": "derived", "why": "Whether the airport is growing or shrinking, which says more about the direction of airport ride demand than the level does.", "math": "FAA CY2024 enplanements 12,881 against CY2023 10,723, both from the same file (https://www.faa.gov/airports/planning_capacity/passenger_allcargo_stats/passenger/arp-cy2024-commercial-service-enplanements.xlsx): (12,881 - 10,723) / 10,723 = 20.1%.", "source": null, "range": [-50, 50], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "airport"}, {"id": "airport_distance_mi", "label": "Airport distance from the city centre", "value": 118.3, "unit": "mi", "basis": "derived", "why": "STRAIGHT-LINE miles from the Census Bureau's internal point for the city to the FAA's published coordinate for the airport. A road trip is longer -- there is no routing engine here and we do not pretend there is -- so treat this as the floor.", "math": "Great-circle distance between the city's Census internal point (39.264928, -114.870868, from the Census Gazetteer place file) and the FAA's airport coordinate (40.825004, -115.791350, from https://services6.arcgis.com/ssFJjBXIUyZDrSYZ/arcgis/rest/services/US_Airport/FeatureServer/0) = 118.3 miles. Straight line, not road miles.", "source": null, "range": [59.1, 295.7], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "airport"}, {"id": "power_state_avg", "label": "Average price of electricity in this state", "value": 0.1311, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The EIA's own average price to residential customers across Nevada in June 2026. This is the all-in price actually billed, averaged over every utility in the state -- not a tariff line.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "US Energy Information Administration, Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A", "date": "June 2026", "url": "https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/xls/table_5_06_a.xlsx", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "Nevada, June 2026"}, "range": [0.066, 0.262], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "power"}, {"id": "power_state_avg_commercial", "label": "Average business electricity price in this state", "value": 0.0983, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The same EIA table, commercial sector. A depot charging cars overnight is billed on a commercial tariff, not a residential one, so this is usually the closer comparison.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "US Energy Information Administration, Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.A", "date": "June 2026", "url": "https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/xls/table_5_06_a.xlsx", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "Nevada, June 2026"}, "range": [0.049, 0.197], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "power"}, {"id": "power_state_avg_ytd", "label": "Average electricity price this year so far", "value": 0.1379, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The same EIA series averaged across the year to date rather than a single month. A tool that models a whole season should lean on this one: a single month can be 5% off the year in either direction, and June 2026 YTD is a season, not a day.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "US Energy Information Administration, Electric Power Monthly, Table 5.6.B (year to date)", "date": "June 2026 YTD", "url": "https://www.eia.gov/electricity/monthly/xls/table_5_06_b.xlsx", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "Nevada, June 2026 YTD"}, "range": [0.069, 0.276], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "power"}, {"id": "power_utility", "label": "Electric utility", "value": "Mt Wheeler Power, Inc", "unit": "", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The electric utility whose EIA-861 service territory includes White Pine County, NV -- the same county this city sits in. Matched on the county, not on the utility's trading name.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "US Energy Information Administration, Form EIA-861 2024, service territory and sales to ultimate customers", "date": "2024", "url": "https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/eia861/zip/f8612024.zip", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "utility Mt Wheeler Power, Inc (#13073), White Pine County County rows, NV"}, "range": null, "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "power"}, {"id": "power_utility_rate", "label": "What this utility's residential customers pay on average", "value": 0.085, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "derived", "why": "Revenue divided by sales for Mt Wheeler Power, Inc, out of the EIA's own annual file. Bundled service only: a delivery-only row charges a delivery fee against the full kilowatt-hours and folding it in produces a rate nobody is billed.", "math": "Form EIA-861 2024 for Mt Wheeler Power, Inc: residential revenue of $7,274.2 thousand against 85,575 MWh sold. (7,274.2 x 1,000 dollars) / (85,575 x 1,000 kWh) = $0.0850 a kWh. This is the utility's own average across its whole residential class -- it is not a tariff, and a customer on a particular rate schedule will pay more or less.", "source": null, "range": [0.043, 0.17], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "power"}, {"id": "power_utility_rate_commercial", "label": "What this utility's business customers pay on average", "value": 0.0957, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "derived", "why": "The same calculation for the commercial class, which is the one a leased bay with a charger would be billed on.", "math": "Form EIA-861 2024 for Mt Wheeler Power, Inc: commercial revenue of $3,978.5 thousand against 41,561 MWh sold, so $0.0957 a kWh.", "source": null, "range": [0.048, 0.191], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "power"}, {"id": "climate_station", "label": "Weather station these figures come from", "value": "ELY YELLAND FLD AP, NV US (USW00023154), 2.5 miles from the city centre", "unit": "", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The nearest NOAA station with a complete thirty-year record, chosen by distance from the Census Bureau's internal point for the city. 0 nearer station(s) were skipped because they measure rainfall but not temperature.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 1991-2020 U.S. Climate Normals, station USW00023154", "date": "1991-2020", "url": "https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/normals-monthly/1991-2020/access/USW00023154.csv", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "ELY YELLAND FLD AP, NV US (USW00023154), 2.5 mi from the city centre"}, "range": null, "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "weather"}, {"id": "temp_annual_avg_f", "label": "Average temperature over the year", "value": 46.1, "unit": "F", "basis": "derived", "why": "The mean of the twelve monthly normals, 1991-2020.", "math": "NOAA 1991-2020 monthly normals for station USW00023154: the twelve MLY-TAVG-NORMAL values averaged = 46.1F.", "source": null, "range": [31.1, 61.1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "weather"}, {"id": "temp_coldest_month_avg_f", "label": "Average temperature in the coldest month", "value": 26.2, "unit": "F", "basis": "sourced", "why": "December is the coldest month here on the 1991-2020 normals. Cold is what puts range into a battery pack and puts people into a car instead of on a bike.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 1991-2020 U.S. Climate Normals, station USW00023154", "date": "1991-2020", "url": "https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/normals-monthly/1991-2020/access/USW00023154.csv", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "ELY YELLAND FLD AP, NV US (USW00023154), 2.5 mi from the city centre"}, "range": [11.2, 41.2], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "weather"}, {"id": "temp_hottest_month_avg_f", "label": "Average temperature in the hottest month", "value": 69.3, "unit": "F", "basis": "sourced", "why": "July is the hottest month here on the 1991-2020 normals.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "NOAA National Centers for Environmental Information, 1991-2020 U.S. Climate Normals, station USW00023154", "date": "1991-2020", "url": "https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/normals-monthly/1991-2020/access/USW00023154.csv", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "ELY YELLAND FLD AP, NV US (USW00023154), 2.5 mi from the city centre"}, "range": [54.3, 84.3], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "weather"}, {"id": "precip_year_in", "label": "Rain and melted snow in a year", "value": 9.41, "unit": "in/year", "basis": "derived", "why": "The twelve monthly precipitation normals added up. Wet weather is one of the few things that reliably lifts ride-hail demand.", "math": "NOAA 1991-2020 monthly normals for station USW00023154: the twelve MLY-PRCP-NORMAL values summed = 9.41 inches a year.", "source": null, "range": [4.7, 16.9], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "weather"}, {"id": "wet_days_year", "label": "Days a year with measurable rain", "value": 72.9, "unit": "days/year", "basis": "derived", "why": "Days with at least a hundredth of an inch. The COUNT of wet days moves demand more than the total depth does -- one downpour is one busy evening.", "math": "NOAA 1991-2020 normals for station USW00023154: the twelve MLY-PRCP-AVGNDS-GE001HI values summed = 72.9 days a year.", "source": null, "range": [0, 250], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "weather"}, {"id": "snow_year_in", "label": "Snow in a year", "value": 54.1, "unit": "in/year", "basis": "derived", "why": "From station USW00023154, 2.5 miles away -- NOT the temperature station above. Fewer stations report snowfall than report temperature, so the nearest one that does is used and named rather than the figure being written down as zero.", "math": "NOAA 1991-2020 normals for station ELY YELLAND FLD AP, NV US (USW00023154), 2.5 miles from the city centre: the twelve MLY-SNOW-NORMAL values summed = 54.1 inches a year.", "source": null, "range": [0, 108], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "weather"}, {"id": "snow_days_year", "label": "Days a year with measurable snow", "value": 33.7, "unit": "days/year", "basis": "sourced", "why": "Days with at least a tenth of an inch of snowfall, from the same station as the annual total.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "NOAA NCEI 1991-2020 U.S. Climate Normals, station USW00023154", "date": "1991-2020", "url": "https://www.ncei.noaa.gov/data/normals-monthly/1991-2020/access/USW00023154.csv", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "ELY YELLAND FLD AP, NV US (USW00023154), 2.5 mi from the city centre"}, "range": [0, 200], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "weather"}, {"id": "adult_share", "label": "Share of residents who are adults", "value": 0.775, "unit": "share", "basis": "derived", "why": "Residents 18 and over in Ely, NV, from the Census Bureau's own age table. This is the first link in the rides-a-day chain, so it is worth having from the primary file rather than a re-publication of it.", "math": "ACS 2020-2024 5-year table B01001 for GEO_ID 1600000US3223500: total population 3,929, of whom 884 are under 18 (the eight under-18 age bands for males and females). (3,929 - 884) / 3,929 = 0.7750.", "source": null, "range": [0.55, 0.95], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "people"}, {"id": "median_household_income", "label": "What a household here earns in a year", "value": 77500, "unit": "$/year", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The median household income in Ely, NV. It is the ceiling on what a ride can be priced at before people walk, and it is published for every city in the country.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "US Census Bureau, American Community Survey 2020-2024 5-year estimates, table B19013", "date": "2020-2024", "url": "https://www2.census.gov/programs-surveys/acs/summary_file/2024/table-based-SF/data/5YRData/acsdt5y2024-b19013.dat", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-07", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "GEO_ID 1600000US3223500, B19013_E001"}, "range": [38750, 155000], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "people"}, {"id": "no_vehicle_share", "label": "Share of households with no car", "value": 0.0271, "unit": "share", "basis": "derived", "why": "Households in Ely, NV with no vehicle available. This is the strongest published local signal there is for who has to hire a ride, and it is the one number in this pack that most directly separates a town where everyone drives from one where a fleet has a market.", "math": "ACS 2020-2024 5-year table B25044 for GEO_ID 1600000US3223500: 1,622 occupied households, of which 16 owner-occupied (B25044_E003) and 28 renter-occupied (B25044_E010) have no vehicle available. (16 + 28) / 1,622 = 0.0271, or 2.7%.", "source": null, "range": [0, 0.6], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "people"}, {"id": "commute_drove_alone_share", "label": "Share who drive to work alone", "value": 0.7199, "unit": "share", "basis": "derived", "why": "How car-shaped the town is. A place where four in five drive alone is one where a ride is a substitute for a car nobody wants to give up.", "math": "ACS 2020-2024 5-year table B08301 for GEO_ID 1600000US3223500: 1,447 of 2,010 workers 16 and over (B08301_E003 / B08301_E001) = 0.7199, or 71.99%.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "people"}, {"id": "commute_transit_share", "label": "Share who take public transport to work", "value": 0.0164, "unit": "share", "basis": "derived", "why": "The competition, and the floor under demand when it stops running at night.", "math": "ACS 2020-2024 5-year table B08301 for GEO_ID 1600000US3223500: 33 of 2,010 workers 16 and over (B08301_E010 / B08301_E001) = 0.0164, or 1.64%.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "people"}, {"id": "commute_taxi_ridehail_share", "label": "Share who commute by taxi or ride-hail", "value": 0.0, "unit": "share", "basis": "derived", "why": "The Census counts this line explicitly. It is a small number everywhere, and it is the only published local measurement of ride-hail use there is.", "math": "ACS 2020-2024 5-year table B08301 for GEO_ID 1600000US3223500: 0 of 2,010 workers 16 and over (B08301_E016 / B08301_E001) = 0.0000, or 0.00%.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "people"}, {"id": "commute_wfh_share", "label": "Share who work from home", "value": 0.0891, "unit": "share", "basis": "derived", "why": "Workers who make no commute trip at all, which takes the top off weekday morning demand.", "math": "ACS 2020-2024 5-year table B08301 for GEO_ID 1600000US3223500: 179 of 2,010 workers 16 and over (B08301_E021 / B08301_E001) = 0.0891, or 8.91%.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "people"}, {"id": "mean_commute_minutes", "label": "How long the average commute takes", "value": 16.8, "unit": "minutes", "basis": "derived", "why": "The mean one-way journey to work in Ely, NV. It is the best published proxy for how far a typical local trip runs, and the trip-length estimate should be argued against it.", "math": "ACS 2020-2024 5-year tables B08013 and B08303 for GEO_ID 1600000US3223500: 30,850 aggregate minutes of travel to work divided by 1,831 workers who did not work from home = 16.8 minutes.", "source": null, "range": [5, 60], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "people"}, {"id": "local_cleaner_wage", "label": "What a car cleaner is paid here", "value": 17.28, "unit": "$/hour", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The median hourly wage for Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment (occupation 53-7061) in Balance of Nevada nonmetropolitan area, from the Bureau of Labor Statistics' own May 2024 estimates. This is the single biggest component of every cleaning price below, and it is published for every metropolitan AND non-metropolitan area in the country -- which is why a town of three thousand people gets a real figure here and a web search for a local detailer gets nothing.", "math": "BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024, occupation 53-7061, area area 'Balance of Nevada nonmetropolitan area', 120 people employed in it: median hourly wage $17.28. The national median for the same occupation is $16.96, so this town's labour index is 17.28 / 16.96 = 1.019.", "source": {"name": "US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024", "date": "2024-05", "url": "https://www.bls.gov/oes/special-requests/oesm24ma.zip", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "read directly out of the federal bulk file at this URL, matched on a key rather than on a name", "row_key": "OCC_CODE 53-7061, AREA 3200006 -- Balance of Nevada nonmetropolitan area"}, "range": [10.37, 31.1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "derived_from": [{"name": "US Bureau of Labor Statistics, Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics, May 2024", "date": "2024-05", "url": "https://www.bls.gov/oes/special-requests/oesm24ma.zip", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": 17.28, "unit": "$/hour", "note": "occupation 53-7061, Balance of Nevada nonmetropolitan area"}], "theme": "costs"}, {"id": "labour_note", "label": "What hand work costs here", "value": "Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment in Balance of Nevada nonmetropolitan area are paid a median of $17.28 an hour (BLS May 2024, occupation 53-7061, 120 employed). The national median for the same job is $16.96, so hand work here costs 102% of what it costs nationally.", "unit": "", "basis": "derived", "why": "The wage that scales every cleaning price below. It is published for every metropolitan and non-metropolitan area in the country, which is why a town of three thousand people gets a real figure where a web search for a local detailer's rate gets nothing.", "math": "Read out of the BLS Occupational Employment and Wage Statistics May 2024 bulk files, occupation 53-7061, at the area level. No search was made for it.", "source": null, "range": null, "editable": true, "depends_on": ["local_cleaner_wage"], "bulk": true, "theme": "costs"}, {"id": "local_labour_index", "label": "How this town's labour costs compare with the country", "value": 1.019, "unit": "x national", "basis": "derived", "why": "Everything a person does by hand costs roughly what a person costs here. This one ratio scales every cleaning price in the pack, and it is measured rather than guessed.", "math": "BLS May 2024, occupation 53-7061 (Cleaners of Vehicles and Equipment): the area figure for 'Balance of Nevada nonmetropolitan area' is $17.28 an hour against $16.96 nationally, so 17.28 / 16.96 = 1.019. This is a genuine local labour market estimate.", "source": null, "range": [0.5, 2.0], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "costs"}, {"id": "local_rent_index", "label": "How this town's property costs compare with the country", "value": 0.672, "unit": "x national", "basis": "derived", "why": "Rent is the other half of a local cost. There is no published rent for small commercial bays anywhere in the country, so the pack uses the one property price that IS published for 32,330 places -- what people pay to rent a home here against what they pay nationally. It is housing, not industrial space, and it is used as a proxy on purpose rather than by accident.", "math": "ACS 2020-2024 5-year table B25064, median gross rent: $950 a month in Ely, NV (place level) against $1,413 for the United States from the same table (GEO_ID 0100000US), so 950 / 1413 = 0.672.", "source": null, "range": [0.2, 3.0], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "theme": "costs"}, {"id": "clean_wipe_cost", "label": "A quick interior wipe between shifts", "value": 36, "unit": "$", "basis": "derived", "why": "This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes a quick contracted interior wipe-down in a town this size, because it is a manual service: keeping a price list current is work, and the price is whatever the owner says on the day. A real quote from a real local supplier beats this number, and it is exactly what you should type over it. The national half of it is what Uber and Lyft themselves pay a driver for a minor mess -- published, national, and kept current because money moves on it every day.", "math": "NATIONAL BASELINE $35.00, then scaled to this town.\n  Lyft publishes a flat $25 for minor 'small food/beverage spills, scuff marks, mud, dirt, or animal fur in the car'.\n  Uber publishes $30 to $60 for a minor mess: 'spills or messes that require extensive cleaning' -- centre $45.00.\n  Average of the two operators' central values: ($25 + $45.00) / 2 = $35.00.\n  Both platforms pay the fee straight to the driver, and Uber requires an itemised receipt from a cleaning service for a professional claim, so these tiers are the platforms' own published view of what such a clean costs.\n  LOCAL STEP: $35.00 x labour index 1.019 = $36.\n  DIRECTION OF ERROR, stated rather than hidden: a platform fee prices a MESS, not a booked clean, so it brackets the right number rather than being it. Neither page carries a publication date; both were read on 2026-09-09.", "source": null, "range": [14, 89], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["local_labour_index"], "bulk": true, "derived_from": [{"name": "Lyft, damage fee policy", "date": null, "url": "https://help.lyft.com/hc/en-us/all/articles/115012927367-I-was-charged-a-damage-fee", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": 25.0, "unit": "$", "note": "minor damage"}, {"name": "Uber, driver cleaning fee policy", "date": null, "url": "https://help.uber.com/en/riders/article/uber-driver-cleaning-fee-policy?nodeId=2dba264f-edb9-4ae7-8186-68dd399874f0", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": [30.0, 60.0], "unit": "$", "note": "minor mess"}], "theme": "costs", "game_id": "wipe_cost_contract"}, {"id": "clean_deep_cost", "label": "A full interior clean", "value": 74, "unit": "$", "basis": "derived", "why": "This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes a full interior detail in a town this size, because it is a manual service: keeping a price list current is work, and the price is whatever the owner says on the day. A real quote from a real local supplier beats this number, and it is exactly what you should type over it. The national half of it is what Uber and Lyft themselves pay a driver for a moderate mess -- published, national, and kept current because money moves on it every day.", "math": "NATIONAL BASELINE $72.50, then scaled to this town.\n  Lyft publishes a flat $75 for moderate 'biowaste outside of the car'.\n  Uber publishes $55 to $85 for a moderate mess: 'larger contained spills or biological messes that require focused cleaning, time, and specialized supplies' -- centre $70.00.\n  Average of the two operators' central values: ($75 + $70.00) / 2 = $72.50.\n  Both platforms pay the fee straight to the driver, and Uber requires an itemised receipt from a cleaning service for a professional claim, so these tiers are the platforms' own published view of what such a clean costs.\n  LOCAL STEP: $72.50 x labour index 1.019 = $74.\n  DIRECTION OF ERROR, stated rather than hidden: a platform fee prices a MESS, not a booked clean, so it brackets the right number rather than being it. Neither page carries a publication date; both were read on 2026-09-09.", "source": null, "range": [30, 185], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["local_labour_index"], "bulk": true, "derived_from": [{"name": "Lyft, damage fee policy", "date": null, "url": "https://help.lyft.com/hc/en-us/all/articles/115012927367-I-was-charged-a-damage-fee", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": 75.0, "unit": "$", "note": "moderate damage"}, {"name": "Uber, driver cleaning fee policy", "date": null, "url": "https://help.uber.com/en/riders/article/uber-driver-cleaning-fee-policy?nodeId=2dba264f-edb9-4ae7-8186-68dd399874f0", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": [55.0, 85.0], "unit": "$", "note": "moderate mess"}], "theme": "costs", "game_id": "deep_clean_cost"}, {"id": "clean_biohazard_cost", "label": "A biohazard clean-out", "value": 154, "unit": "$", "basis": "derived", "why": "This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes an emergency biohazard clean-out in a town this size, because it is a manual service: keeping a price list current is work, and the price is whatever the owner says on the day. A real quote from a real local supplier beats this number, and it is exactly what you should type over it. The national half of it is what Uber and Lyft themselves pay a driver for a severe mess -- published, national, and kept current because money moves on it every day.", "math": "NATIONAL BASELINE $151.25, then scaled to this town.\n  Lyft publishes a flat $150 for severe 'large biowaste spills that would require specialized cleaning'.\n  Uber publishes $80 to $225 for a severe mess: 'substantial messes involving large amounts of bodily fluids or difficult-to-clean matter across multiple areas' -- centre $152.50.\n  Average of the two operators' central values: ($150 + $152.50) / 2 = $151.25.\n  Both platforms pay the fee straight to the driver, and Uber requires an itemised receipt from a cleaning service for a professional claim, so these tiers are the platforms' own published view of what such a clean costs.\n  LOCAL STEP: $151.25 x labour index 1.019 = $154.\n  DIRECTION OF ERROR, stated rather than hidden: a platform fee prices a MESS, not a booked clean, so it brackets the right number rather than being it. Neither page carries a publication date; both were read on 2026-09-09.", "source": null, "range": [62, 385], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["local_labour_index"], "bulk": true, "derived_from": [{"name": "Lyft, damage fee policy", "date": null, "url": "https://help.lyft.com/hc/en-us/all/articles/115012927367-I-was-charged-a-damage-fee", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": 150.0, "unit": "$", "note": "severe damage"}, {"name": "Uber, driver cleaning fee policy", "date": null, "url": "https://help.uber.com/en/riders/article/uber-driver-cleaning-fee-policy?nodeId=2dba264f-edb9-4ae7-8186-68dd399874f0", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": [80.0, 225.0], "unit": "$", "note": "severe mess"}], "theme": "costs", "game_id": "bio_contractor_cost"}, {"id": "depot_rent_month", "label": "A small commercial bay, per month", "value": 857, "unit": "$/month", "basis": "derived", "why": "This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes what a 1,500 square foot bay lets for in a town this size, because small commercial bays let privately, one handshake at a time, and no index tracks them. A real quote from a real local supplier beats this number, and it is exactly what you should type over it.", "math": "NATIONAL BASELINE: Cushman & Wakefield, MarketBeat United States Industrial Q1 2026 reports an overall US industrial asking rent of $10.20 a square foot a year, NNN. 1,500 square feet x $10.20 = $15,300 a year = $1,275.00 a month nationally.\n  LOCAL STEP: $1,275.00 x rent index 0.672 = $857 a month.\n  TWO WAYS THIS IS LOW, said rather than hidden: the national figure is the overall industrial average, dominated by large logistics buildings, and a 1,500 square foot service bay asks MORE per square foot than a 500,000 square foot warehouse -- no premium is applied because no published figure supports one. And NNN means taxes, insurance and common-area costs are on top of this. Treat it as a floor. Read on 2026-09-09.", "source": null, "range": [343, 2572], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["local_rent_index"], "bulk": true, "derived_from": [{"name": "Cushman & Wakefield, MarketBeat United States Industrial Q1 2026", "date": "2026-Q1", "url": "https://assets.cushmanwakefield.com/-/media/cw/marketbeat-pdfs/2026/q1/us-reports/national/q12026usindustrialmarketbeat.pdf", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": 10.2, "unit": "$/sq ft/year", "note": "overall US industrial asking rent, NNN"}], "theme": "costs", "game_id": "depot_bay_rent"}, {"id": "insurance_base_month", "label": "Insurance on the first car", "value": 391, "unit": "$/month", "basis": "derived", "why": "This is a derivation, not a local quote: a national published figure scaled by a published local index. Nobody publishes a price for commercial for-hire cover on a single car in a town this size, because a premium is quoted to a particular operator on particular facts, and no insurer publishes a rate table for for-hire cars. A real quote from a real local supplier beats this number, and it is exactly what you should type over it. What stands in for it is general commercial auto adjusted upward for for-hire use, and that adjustment is our judgement, not a published figure.", "math": "NATIONAL BASELINE: Insureon, Commercial auto insurance cost (updated 2026-03-04) reports a median of $245 a month for commercial auto across 100,000 small-business policyholders, calculated as 'the median cost of policies sold by leading insurance carriers to Insureon's small business customers'.\n  FOR-HIRE UPLIFT x1.40 -- THIS IS OUR JUDGEMENT, NOT A PUBLISHED FIGURE. Progressive publish their own 2025 new-policy premium per power unit by class: business auto $276 a month against for-hire specialty truck $734 and for-hire transport truck $926, so their for-hire classes run 2.7 to 3.4 times general business auto. Those classes are TRUCKS; a for-hire passenger car sits between a tradesman's van and a truck, and 1.40 is a conservative reading of that gap.\n  STATE STEP: NAIC 2023 average auto expenditure is $1,461.47 in NV against $1,281.60 countrywide, so the state index is 1461.47 / 1281.60 = 1.140. It is PERSONAL auto -- nobody publishes commercial for-hire premiums by state -- but what it measures is the part that genuinely varies between states: the loss environment, the tort and rate-filing regime, the uninsured rate and the minimum limits.\n  $245 x 1.40 x 1.140 = $391 a month. This is the number in the pack most worth replacing with a real quote. Read on 2026-09-09.", "source": null, "range": [156, 1173], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "bulk": true, "derived_from": [{"name": "Insureon, Commercial auto insurance cost", "date": "2026-03-04", "url": "https://www.insureon.com/small-business-insurance/commercial-auto/cost", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": 245.0, "unit": "$/month", "note": "median commercial auto, small business"}, {"name": "Progressive Commercial, average commercial auto cost by business type", "date": "2025", "url": "https://www.progressivecommercial.com/commercial-auto-insurance/commercial-auto-cost/", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "note": "evidence for the direction and rough size of a for-hire uplift"}, {"name": "National Association of Insurance Commissioners, 2023 Auto Insurance Database Average Premium Supplement, Table 4", "date": "2025-06", "url": "https://content.naic.org/sites/default/files/aut-db_1.pdf", "read_on": "2026-09-09", "value": 1461.47, "unit": "$/year", "note": "NV average expenditure per insured vehicle, personal auto"}], "theme": "costs", "game_id": "insurance_base"}, {"id": "insurance_per_car_month", "label": "Insurance on each car after the first", "value": 332, "unit": "$/month", "basis": "derived", "why": "What each additional vehicle adds to the premium. Lower than the first car because a fleet policy spreads the administrative part of a premium across the vehicles while the risk part scales with them -- which is part of why growing is the way out of the trap.", "math": "$391 (the first car, above) x 0.85 = $332. NOBODY PUBLISHES THAT SPLIT: the 0.85 is ours, and it is the reason a second car is cheaper to run than the first.", "source": null, "range": [133, 996], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["insurance_base_month"], "bulk": true, "theme": "costs", "game_id": "insurance_per_car"}, {"id": "power_offpeak", "theme": "power", "label": "Overnight electricity", "value": 0.085, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "derived", "why": "Mt. Wheeler Power publishes no time-of-use energy tariff a small operator could take; this is the EIA-861 2024 bundled residential average applied to midnight–06:00 as an imposed flat shape.", "math": "The 2025 tariff (Utah PSC 25-031-T01) has only a flat residential energy charge of 6.5 ¢/kWh plus a $32/month customer charge and a matching flat small-commercial rate; LGS-OP and I-OP exist solely for 50–500 kVA loads and irrigation pumps. Therefore all three daily windows are set equal to the established $0.085/kWh residential average. Weighted average remains 0.085; overnight charging receives no published discount. Likely conservative for a true off-peak window if one were ever introduced.", "source": null, "range": [0.04, 0.2], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "game_id": "power_offpeak"}, {"id": "power_mid", "theme": "power", "label": "Daytime electricity", "value": 0.085, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "derived", "why": "Same imposed flat shape as overnight; the utility has no midday or shoulder energy rate for residential or small-commercial service.", "math": "See power_offpeak. 06:00–16:00 is likewise set to the EIA residential bundled average of $0.085/kWh because no published TOU differential exists.", "source": null, "range": [0.04, 0.2], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "game_id": "power_mid"}, {"id": "power_onpeak", "theme": "power", "label": "Evening electricity", "value": 0.085, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "derived", "why": "Same imposed flat shape; 16:00–midnight has no higher published energy charge for a small operator.", "math": "See power_offpeak. Evening hours are set to the same $0.085/kWh EIA residential average.", "source": null, "range": [0.04, 0.2], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "game_id": "power_onpeak"}, {"id": "power_dcfc", "theme": "power", "label": "Public DC fast charging", "value": 0.66, "unit": "$/kWh", "basis": "sourced", "why": "Non-member rate at the Tesla Supercharger (8 stalls, up to 325 kW, Magic Dock) at Ridley's Family Markets, 1689 Great Basin Blvd, Ely; the principal public DCFC in the city. This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "DCFC Tracker", "date": "2026-09", "url": "https://dcfctracker.com/stations/368025", "tier": "secondary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "the exact quoted text is on the page"}, "range": [0.4, 0.8], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "game_id": "supercharger_kwh", "federal_check": {"verdict": "confirmed", "subject": "chargers", "claim": "8 fast-charging stalls (Tesla Supercharger)", "federal": "the note counts 8 stalls; the snapshot lists Ely, NV - Tesla Supercharger with 8 fast ports 1.3 mi from the town center (TESLA)", "checked_on": "2026-09-18", "findings": 1}}, {"id": "power_tou_note", "theme": "power", "label": "Time-of-use availability", "value": "No; residential and small-commercial service is flat-rate only. Optional off-peak demand schedules exist solely for irrigation pumps (I-OP) and large general service 50–500 kVA (LGS-OP).", "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "The 2025 tariff revision lists every rate class; none is a residential or small-commercial time-of-use energy tariff a small operator could elect. Unconfirmed -- treated as our estimate.", "math": "Verification failed on https://pscdocs.utah.gov/electric/25docs/25031T01/338459DPUCmnts2-26-2025.pdf: the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 4 of the 14 distinctive words in this note). We checked the citation the research pass gave us and could not confirm it, so this number is presented as our own estimate rather than as a published figure.", "source": null, "range": ["No", "Yes, named tariff"], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "ridehail_present", "theme": "demand", "label": "Ride-hail and taxi on the ground", "value": "Uber/Lyft apps quote Ely fares; no local taxi company; driver supply vanishingly thin", "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Third-party fare tables list UberX and Lyft in Ely, but NTA’s only taxi certificate covering White Pine County (Elko Taxi, CPCN 1046.2) is in temporary discontinuance, Census ACS counts 0.0 of workers commuting by taxi or ride-hail, and no Ely news story or operator page shows a standing cab fleet.", "math": "Checked NTA carrier list (Elko Taxi 1046.2 Temporary Discontinuance covering White Pine), Nevada Taxicab Authority (Clark County only), White Pine County site, and local search for a phone-dispatch cab; none operate in Ely today. Uphail publishes theoretical Uber/Lyft rate cards for zip 89301, which is app coverage not confirmed drivers. Supply is a handful of possible out-of-town TNC drivers at most — effectively none on a typical night.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "transit_note", "theme": "demand", "label": "Public bus service", "value": "Ely Bus is countywide dial-a-ride, Mon–Fri 8am–5pm only, 24-hour advance booking; no evenings or weekends", "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "White Pine County’s own Ely Bus page is the operator schedule: demand-response only, weekday daytime, booked a day ahead, so evenings, nights and weekends have no public option and shift those trips onto cars. Unconfirmed -- treated as our estimate.", "math": "Verification failed on https://www.whitepinecounty.net/655/Ely-Bus: the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 3 of the 8 distinctive words in this note). We checked the citation the research pass gave us and could not confirm it, so this number is presented as our own estimate rather than as a published figure.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "trip_mi_avg", "theme": "demand", "label": "Average paid trip length", "value": 2.5, "unit": "miles", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Ely’s own land area (7.626 sq mi) is the strongest local geography; a town that small has typical in-city hops of about two to three miles, with the airport and East Ely railway at the outer edge.", "math": "Circular equivalent radius = sqrt(7.626 / 3.1416) ≈ 1.56 miles, so most pairs of points inside the city are under ~3 miles. Airport Yelland Field is about 3 miles from downtown; the railway museum is in East Ely ~2 miles. The 16.8-minute mean commute would be ~7 miles at 25 mph, but that includes mine and McGill trips outside city limits and is not the paid-ride market. Use 2.5 miles as the in-city paid average. Likely conservative if visitor trips to Cave Lake (~15 mi) are mixed in.", "source": null, "range": [1.0, 8.0], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "trip_mi_short_share", "theme": "demand", "label": "Share of trips under 3 miles", "value": 0.72, "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "In a ~3-mile-wide city most paid hops (hotel–downtown, downtown–hospital, downtown–East Ely) fall under 3 miles.", "math": "From trip_mi_avg 2.5 and a ~3-mile town diameter, a large majority of intra-city trips are under 3 miles. Set 0.72. Stepped down from a national urban short-trip share because the airport and East Ely stretch some rides to ~3 miles; not all the way to 0.8 because some McGill/Ruth legs exist.", "source": null, "range": [0.4, 0.9], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["trip_mi_avg"]}, {"id": "trip_mi_long_share", "theme": "demand", "label": "Share of trips over 10 miles", "value": 0.08, "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Trips over 10 miles from Ely reach McGill (~12 mi), Ruth, or Cave Lake; they are real but not the bulk of a town-scale paid-ride market.", "math": "Great Basin NP is ~60 miles and is usually a self-drive day trip, not a hailed ride. McGill is the main 10+ mile local destination. With trip_mi_avg 2.5, the right tail over 10 miles is small; 0.08. Could be higher if railway/park visitors hail long transfers.", "source": null, "range": [0.02, 0.25], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["trip_mi_avg"]}, {"id": "night_share", "theme": "demand", "label": "Share of demand 21:00–03:00", "value": 0.14, "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "No evening bus, a 24-hour ER at William Bee Ririe, legal brothels, hotel bars and mine/hospital shift changes create late demand, but the town is small and has no college nightlife.", "math": "21:00–03:00 is 6/24 = 0.25 of clock time. National urban TNC night shares are often ~0.12–0.18. Ely has no evening/weekend bus (which pushes bar and hospital trips onto cars) plus 24h ER and High Street brothels, but a thin bar scene. Step a national ~0.15 night share to 0.14. Direction: high if brothels and shift changes dominate; low if the town is dark by 22:00.", "source": null, "range": [0.05, 0.3], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "visitors_year", "theme": "demand", "label": "Annual visitors", "value": 306000, "unit": "visitors/year", "basis": "sourced", "why": "Calendar year 2025: White Pine County Tourism’s director reported a Placer.ai civic count of 306,000 visitors to the city of Ely from outside a 50-mile radius; name that year so the pack does not drift. This is a device-location count, so it includes US-50 pass-through traffic and is larger than overnight stays. This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "White Pine County Tourism and Recreation Board (via Citizen Portal meeting summary)", "date": "2026-01", "url": "https://citizenportal.ai/articles/7809798/nevada/white-pine-county/great-basin-national-park-ranger-reports-151000-visitors-board-outlines-marketing-push-for-ely", "tier": "secondary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "the exact quoted text is on the page"}, "range": [50000, 500000], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "visitor_party_size", "theme": "demand", "label": "Average visiting party size", "value": 2.2, "unit": "people", "basis": "estimated", "why": "No White Pine CVB party-size figure was published; outdoor and highway visitors here are mostly couples, not solo business travelers.", "math": "US leisure travel party size is typically ~2.4. Ely mixes Loneliest Road pass-through (more couples and some solo drivers) with Great Basin/railway destination parties. Step the national leisure figure down to 2.2. Not 1: visitors here do not mainly travel alone.", "source": null, "range": [1.5, 3.5], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "visitor_nights_avg", "theme": "demand", "label": "Average nights per visiting party", "value": 1.8, "unit": "nights", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Ely is both a one-night US-50 stop and a two-to-three-night basecamp for Great Basin and the railway; no CVB average stay was found.", "math": "Weight 60% highway pass-through at 1.0 night and 40% destination stay at 3.0 nights: 0.6*1 + 0.4*3 = 1.8. Airbnb listings in Ely show longer stays (~4–5 nights) but they are a small slice of rooms. Direction: high if more people use Ely as a park basecamp; low if most are single-night highway stops.", "source": null, "range": [1.0, 4.0], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "rides_reported", "theme": "demand", "label": "Independently reported paid rides", "value": 0, "unit": "trips/year", "basis": "estimated", "why": "No published taxi or TNC trip count exists for Ely or White Pine County; zero is an audited absence, not a claim that zero rides occur.", "math": "Checked the five required places: (1) Nevada Taxicab Authority monthly PDFs are Clark County (Las Vegas) only — March 2026 industry total is 1,234,250 trips there, nothing for White Pine; (2) City of Ely / White Pine County and NTA certificate lists show Elko Taxi CPCN 1046.2 covering White Pine but in Temporary Discontinuance, with no trip reports posted; (3) Ely Airport Yelland Field lost commercial service in 2013 and airport-board minutes count aircraft ops, not TNC pickups; (4) no MPO travel survey for this county — NDOT lists Ely Bus as rural transit only; (5) Ely Times / Ely Echo / tourism-board minutes searched, no quoted taxi or TNC volume. Result: nothing to source.", "source": null, "range": [0, 50000], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "geography_type", "theme": "geography", "label": "City geography type", "value": "single-radius town", "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Ely is White Pine County’s only incorporated city: one continuous ~4,000-person built-up area at the US-50/93/6 junction, not a metro of separate districts a fleet must choose between.", "math": "Wikipedia and the road guides describe a single small city (2020 pop. 3,924) of 7.63 sq mi. East Ely is a neighborhood of the same city (railroad depot on 11th St), not a second municipality. McGill (~12 mi N) and Ruth (~8 mi W) sit outside city limits. One car covers the whole town.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "city_radius_mi", "theme": "geography", "label": "City radius", "value": 1.56, "unit": "mi", "basis": "derived", "why": "No published centre-to-edge figure; equivalent circular radius of the settled Census land area (7.626 sq mi) is the right first cut for a single-radius town.", "math": "r = sqrt(land area / π) = sqrt(7.626 / 3.1416) = sqrt(2.427) = 1.56 mi. The town is a bit elongated along Aultman St / US-50, so the farthest built-up edge is likely 2–2.5 mi; 1.56 is the area-equivalent and is conservative for a covering-radius.", "source": null, "range": [0.8, 3.5], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "district_count", "theme": "geography", "label": "Demand districts", "value": 3, "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Three named pockets inside one small city — not enough to treat as a multi-district metro, but distinct enough that a planner might still label them.", "math": "1) downtown Aultman Street (US-50) neon/commercial core around Hotel Nevada; 2) East Ely railroad depot and Nevada Northern yards (11th St / Ave A); 3) hospital and GBC on Avenue H / Bobcat Drive. Prison (9 mi N) and Robinson Mine (Ruth) are outside the city.", "source": null, "range": [1, 6], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["geography_type"]}, {"id": "districts_note", "theme": "geography", "label": "Named districts", "value": "downtown Aultman St commercial core, East Ely railroad yards, hospital/GBC on Avenue H", "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Names the three in-town demand pockets a local would actually distinguish; East Ely is repeatedly described as its own historic railroad end of the same city.", "math": "Road Trip USA: heart of town is a few blocks of Aultman Street west of the US-93 junction. Wikivoyage: Nevada Northern Railway Museum is in East Ely at 11th and Avenue A. Hospital is at 1500 Avenue H; GBC Ely Center is at 2115 Bobcat Drive.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["district_count"]}, {"id": "airport_flights_note", "theme": "geography", "label": "Airport scheduled flights", "value": "1–2 Delta/SkyWest flights daily to Salt Lake City only (11 per week)", "unit": "", "basis": "sourced", "why": "Nearest commercial airport is Elko Regional (EKO); this is a one-hub spoke, not a hub, which is the demand pattern the pack needs. This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "Directflights.com (EKO–SLC)", "date": "2026-08", "url": "https://www.directflights.com/EKO-SLC", "tier": "secondary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "the page carries 6 of the 9 distinctive words in this note"}, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "federal_check": {"verdict": "confirmed", "subject": "airports", "claim": "airport code EKO", "federal": "the FAA enplanement file lists EKO: Elko Regional, Elko NV, 12,881 CY2024 enplanements", "checked_on": "2026-09-18", "findings": 1}}, {"id": "generators_note", "theme": "geography", "label": "Named demand generators", "value": "William Bee Ririe Hospital (25 beds); GBC Ely Center; Ely State Prison (1,183 capacity, 406 staff, 9 mi N); Robinson Nevada Mining (~700 at Ruth); Hotel Nevada; Nevada Northern Railway", "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Lists the named generators that actually move people in and around Ely; mine and prison sit just outside city limits but dominate county employment.", "math": "Hospital 25 beds (WBRH site). GBC Ely is the only college, 9 classrooms. NDOC: prison 9 miles north, capacity 1,183, 406 employee positions. Robinson GM: ~700 employees/contractors, largest private employer, at Ruth ~8 mi W. DETR: Hotel Nevada 50–99 jobs. Railway museum is the tourist venue that fills the town.", "source": null, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["hospital_beds"], "federal_check": {"verdict": "skipped", "subject": "hospitals", "claim": "hospital bed count", "federal": "no federal hospital file is cached (CMS Hospital General Information would be the file; it is not fetched by this rule)", "checked_on": "2026-09-18", "findings": 2}}, {"id": "hospital_beds", "theme": "geography", "label": "Largest hospital staffed beds", "value": 25, "unit": "beds", "basis": "sourced", "why": "William Bee Ririe is the only hospital; it is a Critical Access Hospital whose own site still describes it as 25 beds (federal CAH cap). This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "William Bee Ririe Hospital", "date": "2026-03", "url": "https://www.wbrhely.org/about-us", "tier": "secondary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "the exact quoted text is on the page"}, "range": [10, 40], "editable": true, "depends_on": null, "federal_check": {"verdict": "skipped", "subject": "hospitals", "claim": "hospital bed count", "federal": "no federal hospital file is cached (CMS Hospital General Information would be the file; it is not fetched by this rule)", "checked_on": "2026-09-18", "findings": 1}}, {"id": "college_enrollment", "theme": "geography", "label": "City college enrollment", "value": 100, "unit": "students", "basis": "estimated", "why": "GBC Ely Center is the only college in town and does not publish a campus headcount; 100 is a local on-site estimate, not the 3,320 system-wide figure.", "math": "GBC Ely has 9 classrooms (science, computer, nursing sim). System-wide fall enrollment is ~3,320, of which most are online/Elko. Four physical sites share the remaining in-person load. 9 rooms × ~15 seats × modest utilization, plus dual-credit high schoolers, ≈ 100 on-site. Likely conservative if dual-credit is heavy; do not use the 3,320 all-campus number.", "source": null, "range": [20, 400], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "events_note", "theme": "geography", "label": "Annual events that move demand", "value": "Fire & Ice Winter Festival (January); Red, White Pine & Blue Independence Festival (July); White Pine County Fair & Horse Races (August); Renaissance Faire & Pumpkin Festival (October)", "unit": "", "basis": "sourced", "why": "These four are the recurring, named events that actually pull visitors into Ely; months taken from the organizer/tourism pages opened this session. This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "Travel Nevada — Ely", "date": "2026-05", "url": "https://travelnevada.com/cities/ely/", "tier": "secondary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "the page carries 11 of the 14 distinctive words in this note"}, "range": [0, 1], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "insurance_min_liability", "theme": "costs", "label": "Nevada minimum liability limits for TNC/for-hire", "value": "$1,000,000 CSL while providing services; $50k/$100k/$25k while logged on but available (NRS 690B.470)", "unit": "", "basis": "sourced", "why": "Exact statutory minimums for transportation network companies (and analogous for-hire passenger operations) as currently codified after the 2025 amendment.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "Nevada Legislature (NRS 690B.470)", "date": "2026-04", "url": "https://www.leg.state.nv.us/nrs/nrs-690b.html", "tier": "primary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "the page carries 6 of the 6 distinctive words in this note"}, "range": [], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "parking_month", "theme": "costs", "label": "Downtown monthly parking space", "value": 0, "unit": "$/month", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Ely (pop. 3,946) has free on-street parking year-round; winter calendar (odd/even) rules exist only for snow plowing and carry a $20 fine, not a fee. No published paid lots or meters downtown.", "math": "Zero search results for paid monthly downtown parking in Ely; the only parking regulation found is free street parking with seasonal calendar rules. Typical for a town this size.", "source": null, "range": [0, 100], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "registration_note", "theme": "costs", "label": "For-hire/TNC vehicle registration and fees", "value": "NTA taxicab license $75/vehicle/year (or limousine $100); $200 NTA filing fee for new authority; DMV passenger-car registration $33. TNC company permit $6,000 if operating as TNC. 3% Transportation Connection Tax on fares.", "unit": "", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Exact NTA and DMV fees for for-hire vehicles outside Clark County (Ely is White Pine); TNC permit applies only if the business registers as a TNC rather than traditional taxi/livery. Unconfirmed -- treated as our estimate.", "math": "Verification failed on https://nta.nv.gov/uploadedFiles/ntanvgov/content/Home/TaxicabAnnualFeeRenewalInfo-CY2026.pdf: the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 6 of the 14 distinctive words in this note). We checked the citation the research pass gave us and could not confirm it, so this number is presented as our own estimate rather than as a published figure.", "source": null, "range": [], "editable": true, "depends_on": null}, {"id": "ridehail_ever_share", "label": "US adults who have ever used a ride-hailing app", "value": 0.36, "unit": "share", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The published national benchmark the local figure is built from. It is pinned in the pipeline rather than researched fresh each time, because asking a language model for a published fact four times returns four answers, and that variance was landing straight in rides per day. The page is still fetched and checked on every run. This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce.", "math": null, "source": {"name": "Pew Research Center", "date": "2019-01-04", "url": "https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/01/04/more-americans-are-using-ride-hailing-apps/", "tier": "secondary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "the exact quoted text is on the page"}, "range": [0.2, 0.55], "editable": true, "theme": "demand", "depends_on": null}, {"id": "ridehail_active_share_of_users", "label": "Of people who have ever used it, the share who ride in a given month", "value": 0.32, "unit": "share", "basis": "sourced", "why": "The second half of the same national survey, taken from the same page so that the two halves describe the same population. Ten per cent of users ride at least weekly and another 22% monthly; the other 67% ride less than once a month. This is a secondary source -- it republishes a figure it did not itself produce.", "math": "0.10 riding at least weekly + 0.22 riding monthly = 0.32 of ever-users taking a trip in a given month. The complement the page prints, 67% riding less than monthly, agrees with it to within rounding.", "source": {"name": "Pew Research Center", "date": "2019-01-04", "url": "https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/01/04/more-americans-are-using-ride-hailing-apps/", "tier": "secondary", "verified_on": "2026-09-09", "verified_by": "the exact quoted text is on the page"}, "range": [0.2, 0.5], "editable": true, "theme": "demand", "depends_on": null}, {"id": "ridehail_local_multiplier", "label": "How much more, or less, this town hires rides than the country does", "value": 0.3, "unit": "x national", "basis": "derived", "why": "The step from the national figure to this town, built only from measured Census figures so that it is the same number every time it is computed. It replaces the sentence a language model used to write here -- '0.115 x 1.25 plus a modest nightlife premium' -- in which the premium was invisible and unrepeatable.", "math": "Two measured local signals, each taken against the same figure summed over all 3144 county rows of the same ACS 2020-2024 file. Households with no vehicle: 0.0271 here against 0.0835 nationally = 0.32x. Workers commuting by taxi or ride-hail (ACS B08301_016, a line the Census counts explicitly): 0.00000 here against 0.00261 nationally = 0.00x. Each ratio is clamped to 0.25-4.00 because one ACS cell in a small place rests on very few responses, then blended as a geometric mean because these are ratios, giving 0.28x, clamped to 0.30-3.50. WHAT THIS CANNOT SEE: whether drivers are actually available. In a small town supply, not demand, is usually what binds.", "source": null, "range": [0.15, 0.6], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["no_vehicle_share", "commute_taxi_ridehail_share"], "theme": "demand"}, {"id": "ridehail_month_share", "label": "Local adults taking a ride-hail trip in a given month", "value": 0.0346, "unit": "share", "basis": "derived", "why": "The share of adults in Ely who hire a ride in a typical month. This is one of the two numbers that decide rides per day, so it is now computed rather than judged: nothing about it is asked of a language model.", "math": "Computed, not estimated. 0.36 of US adults have ever used a ride-hail app x 0.32 of those users taking a trip in a given month = 0.1152 of US adults in a typical month (fall 2018 survey, Pew Research Center). Stepped to this town by the measured multiplier of 0.30x: 0.1152 x 0.30 = 0.0346. CHANGE THIS FIRST IF YOU KNOW THE TOWN. It and the visitor chain are the two numbers the whole ride estimate turns on, and this one is built from a national survey and two Census ratios -- it cannot see how many drivers are actually on the road here, which in a small market is usually the real limit. The editable band runs 0.0138 to 0.0865, roughly 0.4x to 2.5x, which is how uncertain this honestly is. Pew's State of Gig Work (December 2021) separately found that 22% of US adults had used a ride-hailing app in the previous twelve months. A national monthly share of 11.5% sits sensibly inside that; it would not if the monthly share were near the annual one.", "source": null, "range": [0.0138, 0.0865], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["ridehail_ever_share", "ridehail_active_share_of_users", "ridehail_local_multiplier"], "theme": "demand"}, {"id": "trips_per_user_month", "label": "Trips a month, per local who rides at all that month", "value": 2.1, "unit": "trips", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Counted only over the people who are active in that month, so it can never be below 1. It multiplies the entire resident stream, which is why it is drawn several times rather than once.", "math": "How many rides a local who uses ride-hail at all in a month takes in that month. Drawn 5 times independently with no web search, so that the run-to-run wobble is measured rather than hidden: 2.5, 1.8, 2, 2.4, 2.1. The MEDIAN, 2.1, is used; the draws spanned 1.8 to 2.5, a factor of 1.39. With only 0.0271 of households having no vehicle and a 16.8-minute mean commute, the few residents who use ride-hail in a month take only a small handful of trips.", "source": null, "range": [1.0, 6.0], "editable": true, "theme": "demand", "depends_on": null}, {"id": "visitor_air_arrival_share", "label": "Share of visitors who arrive by air", "value": 0.0, "unit": "share", "basis": "derived", "why": "A party that flies in has two airport transfers to make and no car; a party that drives in has neither. This is the fork the whole visitor chain turns on, and where two published counts exist it is division rather than judgement.", "math": "No air-arrival share could be built: the nearest commercial airport is too far away to be this town's. It is set to zero, which means the airport transfer contributes nothing to the visitor trip count and this chain is a FLOOR for any town whose visitors do fly in.", "source": null, "range": [0.0, 0.05], "editable": true, "depends_on": ["airport_passengers_year", "visitors_year"], "theme": "demand"}, {"id": "visitor_airport_ridehail_share", "label": "Of air arrivals, the share whose airport transfer is a hired ride", "value": 0.08, "unit": "share", "basis": "estimated", "why": "The rest rent a car, take a hotel or casino shuttle, ride a rail or bus link, or get a lift. This is judgement -- no federal file counts it -- but it is a narrow question about one airport rather than an open one about a whole city.", "math": "How many air-arriving parties hire their ride from the airport. Drawn 5 times independently with no web search, so that the run-to-run wobble is measured rather than hidden: 0.05, 0.05, 0.1, 0.08, 0.08. The MEDIAN, 0.08, is used; the draws spanned 0.05 to 0.1, a factor of 2.00. EKO is 118.3 miles from the city centre, so visiting parties who fly in almost always rent a car rather than take a taxi or ride-hail for that transfer.", "source": null, "range": [0.05, 0.8], "editable": true, "theme": "demand", "depends_on": null}, {"id": "visitor_local_trips_per_stay", "label": "Hired rides a visiting party takes in town, per visit", "value": 0.3, "unit": "trips", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Trips during the stay, not counting the two airport transfers. A resort where everything is walkable from the hotel is low; a spread-out city is higher.", "math": "How many hired rides a visiting party takes while it is here, excluding the airport transfers. Drawn 5 times independently with no web search, so that the run-to-run wobble is measured rather than hidden: 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3. The MEDIAN, 0.3, is used; the draws spanned 0.3 to 0.3, a factor of 1.00. A 7.626 square mile town and 1.8-night average stay mean visiting parties, who typically already have a car, take almost no extra local ride-hail trips.", "source": null, "range": [0.0, 5.0], "editable": true, "theme": "demand", "depends_on": null}, {"id": "visitor_trips_per_stay", "label": "Hired rides one visiting party takes per visit, all in", "value": 0.3, "unit": "trips", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Every hired ride one visiting PARTY takes on one visit, airport transfers included. Per party and per visit -- not per head and not per night. A party shares one car, so a count of visitors is never a count of rides.", "math": "Built from its parts rather than answered as one number, because answered as one number it came back 1.2 on one run and 3.5 on the next and moved the whole town's ride estimate by a factor of three. 2 airport transfers x 0.000 arriving by air x 0.080 of those hiring a ride = 0.000, plus 0.300 trips in town = 0.300 trips a party. Pushing every judgement piece to its own measured extreme gives a range of 0.30 to 0.30. CHANGE THIS FIRST IF YOU KNOW THE TOWN -- this and the monthly ride-hail share are the two numbers the whole estimate rests on, and this one is judgement about tourists that no federal file counts.", "source": null, "range": [0.0, 8.0], "editable": true, "theme": "demand", "depends_on": null}, {"id": "rides_per_day", "label": "Rides a day, whole town", "value": 122, "unit": "rides/day", "basis": "estimated", "why": "Total app-hailed trips a day across every operator in the city -- the pool your fleet competes for a share of, not the number you will get.", "math": "Nobody publishes rides per day for a town this size, so this is built as a chain and every link is visible. People living here = 3946 (a published figure); Share of residents who are adults = 0.775 (worked out from published figures); Local adults taking a ride-hail trip in a given month = 0.0346 (worked out from published figures); Trips a month, per local who rides at all that month = 2.1 (our estimate); Annual visitors = 306000 (a published figure); Average visiting party size = 2.2 (our estimate); Hired rides one visiting party takes per visit, all in = 0.3 (our estimate). Residents: 3,946 people x 0.775 adults = 3,058 adults; x 0.0346 who take a ride-hail trip in a given month = 106 people; x 2.1 trips each a month = 222 trips a month; divided by 30.4 days = 7 resident rides a day. Visitors: 306,000 a year / 2.2 people in a party = 139,091 visiting parties; x 0.3 ride-hail trips a party takes while it is here / 365 days = 114 visitor rides a day. A party shares one car, so a count of visitors is not a count of rides. Visitors are 94% of this total, so the answer turns on the visitor figures more than on the residents. Total: 122 rides a day across ALL operators, not just yours. RANGE, HONESTLY: running the same arithmetic with every judgement link at its own low bound gives 117 rides a day, and at its own high bound 136. The 122 above is the midpoint of a real range, not a measurement. The bounds are this run's own -- the panel's lowest and highest draws and the computed share's editable band -- so the width of this range is a report of how unsure the research was. NO CROSS-CHECK EXISTS, AND THE SEARCH IS ON THE RECORD. Checked the five required places: (1) Nevada Taxicab Authority monthly PDFs are Clark County (Las Vegas) only — March 2026 industry total is 1,234,250 trips there, nothing for White Pine; (2) City of Ely / White Pine County and NTA certificate lists show Elko Taxi CPCN 1046.2 covering White Pine but in Temporary Discontinuance, with no trip reports posted; (3) Ely Airport Yelland Field lost commercial service in 2013 and airport-board minutes count aircraft ops, not TNC pickups; (4) no MPO travel survey for this county — NDOT lists Ely Bus as rural transit only; (5) Ely Times / Ely Echo / tourism-board minutes searched, no quoted taxi or TNC volume. Result: nothing to source. Nothing independent confirms this chain. That absence is stated rather than hidden: a pack with no cross-check is weaker than one with a disagreeing cross-check, because the disagreeing one at least tells you which way you might be wrong. Direction of uncertainty: this counts only app-hailed rides and ignores taxis, shuttles, non-emergency medical transport and the airport's own courtesy runs, so it is more likely low than high. It also assumes supply exists to meet the demand, which in a small town is often the binding constraint rather than demand itself.", "source": null, "range": [30, 487], "editable": true, "low": 117, "high": 136, "cross_check": {"has_cross_check": false, "search_was_audited": true, "searched": "Checked the five required places: (1) Nevada Taxicab Authority monthly PDFs are Clark County (Las Vegas) only — March 2026 industry total is 1,234,250 trips there, nothing for White Pine; (2) City of Ely / White Pine County and NTA certificate lists show Elko Taxi CPCN 1046.2 covering White Pine but in Temporary Discontinuance, with no trip reports posted; (3) Ely Airport Yelland Field lost commercial service in 2013 and airport-board minutes count aircraft ops, not TNC pickups; (4) no MPO travel survey for this county — NDOT lists Ely Bus as rural transit only; (5) Ely Times / Ely Echo / tourism-board minutes searched, no quoted taxi or TNC volume. Result: nothing to source.", "verdict": ["none", "five named sources were checked and none of them publishes a trip count for this city"], "our_estimate_per_day": 122, "our_range_per_day": [30, 487]}, "theme": "people", "federal_check": {"verdict": "confirmed", "subject": "population", "claim": "3,946 people", "federal": "the note says 3,946; the Census file says Ely city 3,946 (Census vintage 2025) -- within 5%", "checked_on": "2026-09-18", "findings": 1}}], "notes": {"power": "EIA bundled averages already amortize the $32/month residential customer charge; the tariff energy component alone is 6.5 ¢/kWh. Tesla Supercharger is the only high-power public DCFC confirmed in Ely. A Shell Recharge 50 kW unit at a nearby gas station has been reported at $0.50/kWh but could not be re-verified in this session.", "demand": "Ely is a ~4,000-person mining and highway town with a real visitor economy (Great Basin NP gateway, Nevada Northern Railway) but almost no paid-ride supply. Census no-vehicle share is only 2.71%, mean commute 16.8 minutes, and 0.0 taxi/ride-hail commute — so resident ride-hail demand is thin; visitors and the lack of evening bus matter more. The 306,000 Placer.ai 2025 count is a 50-mile device geofence and will overstate overnight guests. Pipeline should not treat rides_reported=0 as proof of zero demand.", "geography": "Nearest commercial airport in the bulk files is Elko Regional (EKO), 118 mi away — Ely Yelland Field (ELY) has no scheduled airline service (Wikivoyage). Robinson Mine and Ely State Prison sit just outside city limits but dominate employment. GBC does not publish an Ely-center headcount; 100 is an on-site estimate, not the 3,320 system-wide figure. July 4 festival also confirmed at https://elynews.com/2025/06/27/ely-prepares-for-extensive-independence-day-festival/ ; Renaissance Faire at https://elylions.com/renfaire/ (October); Fair at https://travelnevada.com/event/white-pine-county-fair-and-horse-races/ (August). Prison: https://www.doc.nv.gov/facilities/ely-state-prison-esp/ . Robinson ~700: https://www.mining-outlook.com/commodities/robinson-mine-delivering-deep-rooted-dexterity . DETR top employers: https://www.nevadaworkforce.com/_docs/Top-Employers/20242/Top-Employers-in-White-Pine-County .", "_superseded": ["clean_biohazard_cost", "clean_deep_cost", "clean_wipe_cost", "depot_rent_month", "insurance_base_month", "insurance_per_car_month", "labour_note"], "costs": "Ely (pop. 3,946) publishes almost no local operating-cost data. Insurance and liability limits are statewide (taxi/TNC). Depot rent uses the only current Ely industrial listing as proxy. Cleaning and extra-vehicle insurance are estimated from nearby rural NV (Fallon) and state taxi averages, scaled by Ely’s median household income of $77,500. Parking is free on-street. A 1–4 car business here is far more likely to operate under NTA taxi/livery rules than as a TNC."}, "gaps": ["visitor_air_arrival_share: the nearest commercial airport is 118 miles away, past the 35-mile line at which it stops being this town's airport, so its boardings were NOT divided by this town's visitors -- doing so would have handed a small town a large airport's traffic", "visitor_air_arrival_share: could not be built, so visitors are counted as arriving by road and the visitor stream is a floor", "visitor_airport_ridehail_share: the panel's own draws disagreed by 2.0x (0.05, 0.05, 0.1, 0.08, 0.08), so this component is not settled and the range on rides per day is wide because of it", "rides_per_day: the five named sources were checked and none publishes a trip count for this city, so the estimate stands on its own arithmetic"], "counts": {"total": 78, "sourced": 24, "derived": 32, "estimated": 22}, "applies_to_game": {"overrides": 10, "how": "A record carrying `game_id` replaces that id in the game's assumptions.js when this city is selected. The rest of the pack is city context the model has no slot for yet -- rides per day, the trip-length split, the airport's traffic, the demand generators -- and is stated rather than quietly mapped onto something it is not.", "unmapped": ["adult_share", "airport_code", "airport_distance_mi", "airport_flights_note", "airport_name", "airport_passengers_year", "airport_traffic_change_pct", "city_radius_mi", "climate_station", "college_enrollment", "commute_drove_alone_share", "commute_taxi_ridehail_share", "commute_transit_share", "commute_wfh_share", "density", "district_count", "districts_note", "events_note", "generators_note", "geography_type", "hospital_beds", "insurance_min_liability", "labour_note", "land_area_sqmi", "local_cleaner_wage", "local_labour_index", "local_rent_index", "mean_commute_minutes", "median_household_income", "metro_population", "night_share", "no_vehicle_share", "parking_month", "population", "power_state_avg", "power_state_avg_commercial", "power_state_avg_ytd", "power_tou_note", "power_utility", "power_utility_rate", "power_utility_rate_commercial", "precip_year_in", "registration_note", "ridehail_active_share_of_users", "ridehail_ever_share", "ridehail_local_multiplier", "ridehail_month_share", "ridehail_present", "rides_per_day", "rides_reported", "snow_days_year", "snow_year_in", "temp_annual_avg_f", "temp_coldest_month_avg_f", "temp_hottest_month_avg_f", "transit_note", "trip_mi_avg", "trip_mi_long_share", "trip_mi_short_share", "trips_per_user_month", "visitor_air_arrival_share", "visitor_airport_ridehail_share", "visitor_local_trips_per_stay", "visitor_nights_avg", "visitor_party_size", "visitor_trips_per_stay", "visitors_year", "wet_days_year"]}, "source_mix": {"with_a_citation": 24, "primary": 17, "secondary": 7, "tier_unknown": 0, "no_citation_derived_or_estimated": 54, "read_from_a_federal_bulk_file": 41, "how": "A `primary` citation is the body that produced the figure -- a .gov file, or the utility, airport or operator publishing its own number. `secondary` is somebody re-publishing a number they did not produce. Records with no citation are the derived and estimated ones, and their working is in `math`."}, "bulk_sources": {"records": 41, "records_needing_no_citation_check": 16, "record_ids": ["adult_share", "airport_code", "airport_distance_mi", "airport_name", "airport_passengers_year", "airport_traffic_change_pct", "clean_biohazard_cost", "clean_deep_cost", "clean_wipe_cost", "climate_station", "commute_drove_alone_share", "commute_taxi_ridehail_share", "commute_transit_share", "commute_wfh_share", "density", "depot_rent_month", "insurance_base_month", "insurance_per_car_month", "labour_note", "land_area_sqmi", "local_cleaner_wage", "local_labour_index", "local_rent_index", "mean_commute_minutes", "median_household_income", "metro_population", "no_vehicle_share", "population", "power_state_avg", "power_state_avg_commercial", "power_state_avg_ytd", "power_utility", "power_utility_rate", "power_utility_rate_commercial", "precip_year_in", "snow_days_year", "snow_year_in", "temp_annual_avg_f", "temp_coldest_month_avg_f", "temp_hottest_month_avg_f", "wet_days_year"], "how": "These came out of national files that cover every city in the country. The file is downloaded ONCE and shared by every city in the run; the city is matched to its row by a key -- a place or county FIPS code, an FAA airport identifier, or a coordinate -- never by name. They do not go through the citation verifier, because there is no cited page to check: the federal file is the source. 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That is the half of a pack no federal file will ever carry, and it is the half worth having: Dover, Tennessee is a town of 1,918 people in the federal files and nothing more, and what makes it interesting is that 84% of its rides are visitors to Fort Donelson National Battlefield.", "derived_rather_than_researched": "Cleaning, depot rent and insurance USED to be researched and are not any more. They are manual-service prices that nobody publishes, because maintaining a price page is work and the price is whatever the owner says on the day. Searching for them found nothing at all in the smallest town and found ONE detailer's advertised price in the others, which was then stamped `sourced` -- a claim of rigour a sample of one does not have. Each is now a national published baseline times a published local index (BLS area wages for hand work, ACS median gross rent for property, NAIC state expenditure for insurance), with the arithmetic in `math`. See local_costs.py."}, "verification": {"bulk_records": 41, "bulk_needing_no_verification": 16, "citations_checked": 11, "citations_passed": 8, "citations_failed": 3, "primary": 1, "secondary": 7, "derived_downgraded": 0, "method": "Every record the model returned as 'sourced' had its cited URL fetched. The page had to load, and the figure had to be in its text within 400 characters of one of the record's own keywords. Anything that failed was demoted to 'estimated' with the failure written into its math.", "reports": [{"id": "population", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "SUMLEV 162, GEOID 3223500 -- Ely city, Nevada", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "land_area_sqmi", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "GEOID 3223500 -- Ely city", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "density", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "metro_population", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "SUMLEV 050, 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"detail": "Nevada, June 2026 YTD", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "power_utility", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "utility Mt Wheeler Power, Inc (#13073), White Pine County County rows, NV", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "power_utility_rate", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "power_utility_rate_commercial", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "climate_station", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": null, "status": 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(USW00023154), 2.5 mi from the city centre", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "adult_share", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "median_household_income", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "GEO_ID 1600000US3223500, B19013_E001", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "no_vehicle_share", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "commute_drove_alone_share", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "commute_transit_share", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "commute_taxi_ridehail_share", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "commute_wfh_share", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "mean_commute_minutes", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "local_cleaner_wage", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "OCC_CODE 53-7061, AREA 3200006 -- Balance of Nevada nonmetropolitan area", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "labour_note", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "local_labour_index", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "local_rent_index", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "clean_wipe_cost", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "clean_deep_cost", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "clean_biohazard_cost", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "depot_rent_month", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "insurance_base_month", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "insurance_per_car_month", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": "primary", "detail": "read out of the federal file named in its source", "action": "not checked (read straight from a federal bulk file)"}, {"id": "power_offpeak", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "power_mid", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "power_onpeak", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "power_dcfc", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://dcfctracker.com/stations/368025", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": true, "tier": "secondary", "detail": "the exact quoted text is on the page", "action": "kept"}, {"id": "power_tou_note", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://pscdocs.utah.gov/electric/25docs/25031T01/338459DPUCmnts2-26-2025.pdf", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": false, "tier": "primary", "detail": "the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 4 of the 14 distinctive words in this note)", "action": "demoted to estimated"}, {"id": "ridehail_present", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "transit_note", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://www.whitepinecounty.net/655/Ely-Bus", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": false, "tier": "secondary", "detail": "the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 3 of the 8 distinctive words in this note)", "action": "demoted to estimated"}, {"id": "trip_mi_avg", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "trip_mi_short_share", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "trip_mi_long_share", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "night_share", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "visitors_year", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://citizenportal.ai/articles/7809798/nevada/white-pine-county/great-basin-national-park-ranger-reports-151000-visitors-board-outlines-marketing-push-for-ely", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": true, "tier": "secondary", "detail": "the exact quoted text is on the page", "action": "kept"}, {"id": "visitor_party_size", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "visitor_nights_avg", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "rides_reported", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "geography_type", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "city_radius_mi", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "district_count", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "districts_note", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "airport_flights_note", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://www.directflights.com/EKO-SLC", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": true, "tier": "secondary", "detail": "the page carries 6 of the 9 distinctive words in this note", "action": "kept"}, {"id": "generators_note", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "hospital_beds", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://www.wbrhely.org/about-us", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": true, "tier": "secondary", "detail": "the exact quoted text is on the page", "action": "kept"}, {"id": "college_enrollment", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "events_note", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://travelnevada.com/cities/ely/", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": true, "tier": "secondary", "detail": "the page carries 11 of the 14 distinctive words in this note", "action": "kept"}, {"id": "insurance_min_liability", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://www.leg.state.nv.us/nrs/nrs-690b.html", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": true, "tier": "primary", "detail": "the page carries 6 of the 6 distinctive words in this note", "action": "kept"}, {"id": "parking_month", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "registration_note", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://nta.nv.gov/uploadedFiles/ntanvgov/content/Home/TaxicabAnnualFeeRenewalInfo-CY2026.pdf", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": false, "tier": "primary", "detail": "the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 6 of the 14 distinctive words in this note)", "action": "demoted to estimated"}, {"id": "ridehail_ever_share", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/01/04/more-americans-are-using-ride-hailing-apps/", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": true, "tier": "secondary", "detail": "the exact quoted text is on the page", "action": "kept"}, {"id": "ridehail_active_share_of_users", "basis_in": "sourced", "url": "https://www.pewresearch.org/short-reads/2019/01/04/more-americans-are-using-ride-hailing-apps/", "status": 200, "url_ok": true, "figure_ok": true, "tier": "secondary", "detail": "the exact quoted text is on the page", "action": "kept"}, {"id": "ridehail_local_multiplier", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "ridehail_month_share", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "trips_per_user_month", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "visitor_air_arrival_share", "basis_in": "derived", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "visitor_airport_ridehail_share", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "visitor_local_trips_per_stay", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}, {"id": "visitor_trips_per_stay", "basis_in": "estimated", "url": null, "status": null, "url_ok": null, "figure_ok": null, "tier": null, "detail": "", "action": "not checked (not a sourced record)"}]}, "cost": {"calls": 9, "input_tokens": 2173104, "output_tokens": 48644, "web_searches": 103, "cost_usd": 4.7708, "seconds": 947.9, "measured_on": "2026-09-08", "note": "measured when the research actually ran on 2026-09-08; rebuilding the pack from the saved answers costs nothing"}, "search_ceiling": {"scope": "ely-nv", "searches_charged": 0, "search_ceiling": 200, "searches_left": 200, "calls_made": 0, "call_ceiling": 12, "search_enabled_calls": 0, "per_call_ceiling": 60, "charged_by_estimate": 0, "how_the_cli_is_charged": "The Grok CLI does not report how many web searches it made, so every search-enabled call is charged a flat 28 -- the measured mean of the runs this ceiling exists to prevent (668 searches over 24 search-enabled calls). It is deliberately the worst case, so the ceiling binds early rather than late.", "per_call_breaches": [], "refusals": [], "bound": false, "why": "Six cities on 2026-09-08 made 668 web searches between them and pulled 13,057,511 input tokens, because nothing counted them. This ceiling refuses a call the remaining budget cannot pay for. It is set well above the shape of a normal city on purpose: it is a guard rail against a loop that has run away, not a reason to ask fewer questions about the town. If it bound, the fields that went unresearched are named in `gaps`."}, "reproducibility": {"why": "Re-running the same research prompt for the same city used to return materially different judgement figures, and those figures dominate rides per day. Three variables were taken off the model and rebuilt: the monthly ride-hail share is now computed from a pinned national survey and two measured Census ratios; the per-party visitor trip rate is composed from narrower questions; and what judgement is left is drawn several times and reported as a median with its spread.", "computed_not_judged": ["ridehail_ever_share", "ridehail_active_share_of_users", "ridehail_local_multiplier", "ridehail_month_share", "visitor_air_arrival_share"], "panel_draws": 5, "panel": {"visitor_airport_ridehail_share": {"median": 0.08, "draws": [0.05, 0.05, 0.1, 0.08, 0.08], "min": 0.05, "max": 0.1, "spread_x": 2.0}, "visitor_local_trips_per_stay": {"median": 0.3, "draws": [0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3, 0.3], "min": 0.3, "max": 0.3, "spread_x": 1.0}, "trips_per_user_month": {"median": 2.1, "draws": [2.5, 1.8, 2.0, 2.4, 2.1], "min": 1.8, "max": 2.5, "spread_x": 1.39}}, "panel_answers_clipped_to_bounds": [], "rides_per_day_range": [117, 136]}, "cross_check": {"has_cross_check": false, "search_was_audited": true, "searched": "Checked the five required places: (1) Nevada Taxicab Authority monthly PDFs are Clark County (Las Vegas) only — March 2026 industry total is 1,234,250 trips there, nothing for White Pine; (2) City of Ely / White Pine County and NTA certificate lists show Elko Taxi CPCN 1046.2 covering White Pine but in Temporary Discontinuance, with no trip reports posted; (3) Ely Airport Yelland Field lost commercial service in 2013 and airport-board minutes count aircraft ops, not TNC pickups; (4) no MPO travel survey for this county — NDOT lists Ely Bus as rural transit only; (5) Ely Times / Ely Echo / tourism-board minutes searched, no quoted taxi or TNC volume. Result: nothing to source.", "verdict": ["none", "five named sources were checked and none of them publishes a trip count for this city"], "our_estimate_per_day": 122, "our_range_per_day": [30, 487]}, "replayed_from_saved_research": true, "summary": "This is a planning tool, not a prediction. Of the 78 numbers behind a season in Ely, 24 are published figures, 32 are worked out from published figures, and 22 are our own estimates. 41 of them were read straight out of a federal file that covers every city in the country, so there was no citation to trust and no page to misread. You can change any of them. Your result is only as good as the numbers you agree with.", "federal_cross_check": {"rule": "Every research claim about charging stations, population or airports is checked against a federal bulk file the pipeline already holds on disk: chargers against the DOE/AFDC station snapshot (open, public sites within 10 straight-line miles of the Census town center), population against the Census place and county estimates, airports against the FAA enplanement file. Confirmed means the federal file agrees within tolerance (a stall count within 25% or one stall; a figure within 5%). Disputed means the federal file holds a different figure -- both are printed and the pack keeps its own citation. Unconfirmed means the federal file has no record of the thing claimed, which is never treated as false: the locator is voluntary submission and grant-funded sites lag it. Hospital claims are not checked because no federal hospital file is cached. A planned or permitted site never counts as present.", "checked_on": "2026-09-18", "town_center": [39.264928, -114.870868], "geoid": "3223500", "files": {"chargers": {"name": "US DOE Alternative Fuels Data Center station locator", "snapshot": "2026-09-16", "rows": "89386", "views": "dcfc_public / l2_public (status E, public, unrestricted)", "path": "../../american_adventurer/data/camp_leads.sqlite"}, "population": {"place": {"name": "Ely city", "population": 3946, "vintage": "2025", "file": "sub-est2025.csv", "read_on": "2026-09-07"}, "county": {"name": "White Pine County", "population": 8661, "vintage": "2025", "file": "co-est2025-alldata.csv", "read_on": "2026-09-07"}, "name": "US Census Bureau population estimates, vintage 2025"}, "airports": {"name": "FAA CY2024 commercial service enplanements + FAA airport layer", "read_on": "2026-09-07"}, "hospitals": {"skipped": "no federal hospital file is cached (CMS Hospital General Information would be the file; it is not fetched by this rule)"}}, "federal_chargers_within_10mi": {"dcfc_sites": 1, "dcfc_ports": 8, "dcfc_list": [{"name": "Ely, NV - Tesla Supercharger", "network": "Tesla", "ports": 8, "connectors": "TESLA", "miles": 1.3, "open_date": "2024-11-12"}], "l2_sites": 1, "l2_ports": 2, "nearest_dcfc": {"name": "Ely, NV - Tesla Supercharger", "network": "Tesla", "ports": 8, "connectors": "TESLA", "miles": 1.3, "city": "Ely", "state": "NV"}}, "counts": {"confirmed": 6, "disputed": 0, "unconfirmed": 0, "skipped_no_file": 3, "claims": 9, "records_touched": 7, "records_read_from_a_federal_file_not_rechecked": 41}, "findings": [{"record": "power_dcfc", "field": "why", "subject": "chargers", "claim": "8 fast-charging stalls (Tesla Supercharger)", "claim_text": "Non-member rate at the Tesla Supercharger (8 stalls, up to 325 kW, Magic Dock) at Ridley's Family Markets, 1689 Great Basin Blvd, Ely;", "verdict": "confirmed", "federal": "the note counts 8 stalls; the snapshot lists Ely, NV - Tesla Supercharger with 8 fast ports 1.3 mi from the town center (TESLA)", "tolerance": "within 10 straight-line miles of the Census town center; a stall count within 25% or one stall"}, {"record": "airport_flights_note", "field": "why", "subject": "airports", "claim": "airport code EKO", "claim_text": "Nearest commercial airport is Elko Regional (EKO);", "verdict": "confirmed", "federal": "the FAA enplanement file lists EKO: Elko Regional, Elko NV, 12,881 CY2024 enplanements", "tolerance": "exact code"}, {"record": "generators_note", "field": "value", "subject": "hospitals", "claim": "hospital bed count", "claim_text": "William Bee Ririe Hospital (25 beds);", "verdict": "skipped", "federal": "no federal hospital file is cached (CMS Hospital General Information would be the file; it is not fetched by this rule)", "tolerance": ""}, {"record": "generators_note", "field": "math", "subject": "hospitals", "claim": "hospital bed count", "claim_text": "Hospital 25 beds (WBRH site).", "verdict": "skipped", "federal": "no federal hospital file is cached (CMS Hospital General Information would be the file; it is not fetched by this rule)", "tolerance": ""}, {"record": "hospital_beds", "field": "why", "subject": "hospitals", "claim": "hospital bed count", "claim_text": "it is a Critical Access Hospital whose own site still describes it as 25 beds (federal CAH cap).", "verdict": "skipped", "federal": "no federal hospital file is cached (CMS Hospital General Information would be the file; it is not fetched by this rule)", "tolerance": ""}, {"record": "rides_per_day", "field": "math", "subject": "population", "claim": "3,946 people", "claim_text": "Residents: 3,946 people x 0.775 adults = 3,058 adults;", "verdict": "confirmed", "federal": "the note says 3,946; the Census file says Ely city 3,946 (Census vintage 2025) -- within 5%", "tolerance": "within 5%"}, {"record": "notes.power", "field": "text", "subject": "chargers", "claim": "Tesla Supercharger fast charging here", "claim_text": "Tesla Supercharger is the only high-power public DCFC confirmed in Ely.", "verdict": "confirmed", "federal": "the snapshot lists Ely, NV - Tesla Supercharger (Tesla, 8 fast ports, 1.3 mi)", "tolerance": "within 10 straight-line miles of the Census town center; a stall count within 25% or one stall"}, {"record": "notes.geography", "field": "text", "subject": "airports", "claim": "airport code EKO", "claim_text": "Nearest commercial airport in the bulk files is Elko Regional (EKO), 118 mi away — Ely Yelland Field (ELY) has no scheduled airline service (Wikivoyage).", "verdict": "confirmed", "federal": "the FAA enplanement file lists EKO: Elko Regional, Elko NV, 12,881 CY2024 enplanements", "tolerance": "exact code"}, {"record": "notes.geography", "field": "text", "subject": "airports", "claim": "airport code ELY", "claim_text": "Nearest commercial airport in the bulk files is Elko Regional (EKO), 118 mi away — Ely Yelland Field (ELY) has no scheduled airline service (Wikivoyage).", "verdict": "confirmed", "federal": "the FAA airport layer lists ELY (Ely/Yelland Fld) -- no commercial enplanements, general aviation", "tolerance": "exact code"}]}, "citation_recheck": {"on": "2026-09-24", "how": "Every citation this pack's build-time check reported as failed was fetched again by hand on 2026-09-24: one request at a time, with the header set a real browser sends, a pause between hosts, a retry with a back-off on 403, 429 and 5xx, and redirects followed and recorded.", "counts": {"rechecked": 3, "gone": 0, "moved": 0, "blocked": 0, "flaky": 0, "answers_normally": 3, "passes_the_same_test_now": 0, "still_fails_the_same_test": 3, "could_not_be_read_today": 0}, "what_this_means": "A citation counted as failed at build time is not the same thing as a dead link. None of this pack's failed citations is a dead page. Where the URL answers and the same test now passes, the original failure was our own fetch being refused, not the source.", "citations": [{"record": "power_tou_note", "url": "https://pscdocs.utah.gov/electric/25docs/25031T01/338459DPUCmnts2-26-2025.pdf", "url_today": "answers normally", "detail_today": "HTTP 200 on the first attempt", "build_time_verdict": "the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 4 of the 14 distinctive words in this note)", "same_test_now": "still fails", "same_test_detail": "the page carries only 4 of the 14 distinctive words in this note"}, {"record": "registration_note", "url": "https://nta.nv.gov/uploadedFiles/ntanvgov/content/Home/TaxicabAnnualFeeRenewalInfo-CY2026.pdf", "url_today": "answers normally", "detail_today": "HTTP 200 on the first attempt", "build_time_verdict": "the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 6 of the 14 distinctive words in this note)", "same_test_now": "still fails", "same_test_detail": "the page carries only 6 of the 14 distinctive words in this note"}, {"record": "transit_note", "url": "https://www.whitepinecounty.net/655/Ely-Bus", "url_today": "answers normally", "detail_today": "HTTP 200 on the first attempt", "build_time_verdict": "the cited page loads but does not carry the figure (the page carries only 3 of the 8 distinctive words in this note)", "same_test_now": "still fails", "same_test_detail": "the page carries only 3 of the 8 distinctive words in this note"}]}}, "ok": true}